Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Nick's Power Rankings, Week One

1.) What Would Jones Drew? (LW #1)
  Sean comes in Week 1 with the target on his back.  With a resounding 81.25% chance to make playoffs if he manages team well (Footballguys.com Roster Analytics), things are looking good in Week 1 for this Fantasy Watchdog. And with a roster including AP, MJD, and Sophomore Superstar Russell Wilson at the helm, who can refute those odds? 
      However, things aren't all positive. Sean faces Mama's Homemade Salsa this week, who's "Muy Caliente" roster of high-upside players could pose some trouble if Sean's Receiving corps performs as expected. Trade rumors around the league also idicate that Sean is paranoid about his depth at running back, but is too cheap to make a reasonable trade. Who knows, sometimes our Achilles Heel turns out to be a bigger target than we think.

2.) VERSACE VERSACE (LW #2)
      Corey Hewett comes out week one expecting to put teams in their place.  With a roster that says "This is a gated community, please the f*** off the property," Vegas has VERSACE VERSACE systematically demolishing Kaep Happy in Week One. Corey drafted dead last in the draft, putting him at a disadvantage, but the tide seemed to turn in his favor somehow, as he wound up with Roddy White in the 4th, Matt Stafford in the 7th, and Mike Williams in the 12th.
      VERSACE is a high class team, but perhaps the high hopes amount to nothing. Hewett has perhaps the best depth in the league, but can his starters contribute at the same level as those who drafted before him? I suppose we'll find out this week. While his team may not feature too many exciting superstars, I still expect big numbers out of them.

3.) - Mosstradamus (LW #6)
      The first one to rise from their preseason rank is Will Brown.  Ranked 6th just two weeks ago, injuries have greatly increased the value of his players. With Andre Brown hurt, Will's running back tandem of Marshawn Lynch and David Wilson has reached top-3 potential with an upside as the best 1-2 in the league.  And, with Dez Bryant and Demaryius Thomas (playing a questionable Steelers' D), this team will put up points in week one.  Vegas has Mosstradamus dominating the Broken Clavicles this week by 16 points. I think he will win by more than 20.
      The only thing that can bring this team down, however is depth. If Mike Shanahan carries through on sitting RGIII, Will is left with Andy Dalton at quarterback facing a stout and improved Ravens D who will be looking to make a statement. Things look good for a possible repeat season, but only if this team stays healthy.

4.) Probation (LW #5)
      After a sound draft as compared to last year's team that finished dead last, Curtis Smith is wearing his probation as a badge of pride. It motivates him, and he intends to shove it in everyones faces. With lots of upside at running back in Jamaal Charles and Frank Gore, and Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Curtis will put up some numbers this year.
      Without a good performance by those backs though, Probation will rely on Julio Jones and Rodgers.  Another thing holding him back is injury potential. One bad injury sends this team to the back-half of the league due to poor depth. 
      While he is expected to be even against his father's team, Rank This, I expect a blowout by Curtis to start off his season of redemption.

5.) Cobra Commanders (LW #4)
      For her first ever fantasy football experience, Melinda Brown is coming out with a statement.  While it's not the best fantasy team on paper, she has a high upside and a potential to make a playoff run.  With Peyton Manning at the helm, and Ray Rice/CJ2K as her backfield, Melinda has top-3 upside as a team this season. And starting off the season against a weak team like her husband's, she has a chance to keep moving up the rankings.
      The only thing holding this team back is her receiving core. Andre Johnson may be past his prime, and doesn't score enough to be a number 1 wideout anymore, and with Jordy Nelson on a stacked Packers offense, her point potential is limited a wideout. If her backs dont perform as I expect them to, she'll drop into the abyss. Let's all hope for a show against Bobby B and his Insane Clown Posse.

6.) Mama's Homemade Salsa (LW #7)
      Muy Caliente! This team has the potential to be Hot, Hot, Hot. However, this team is all about that one thing: potential. Without breakout years from Victor Cruz, Steven Jackson, Cam Newton, or LeSean McCoy, Nicky B's recipe for success become a mild party accent that results in indigestion and a middle-of-the-road performance.
      Favored by 2 points against top-ranked What Would Jones Drew?, Vegas sees a lot in this team. And, with one good performance, I can see it making the Top-5 next week.

7.) Kaep Happy (LW #8)
      Rising one spot this week is another team all about potential.  Named after potential star Colin Kaepernick, this team will still rely on running back Doug Martin and Reggie Bush, who are hyped for big seasons by most fantasy experts. However, if Bush doesn't get the receptions he is expected to (or if he gets hurt/scared as he did against the Eagles his rookie year), then Cheryl is placing a lot on two Sophomores who could be revealed as guys with lucky rookie years.
      Pierre Garcon also poses as a weak WR2 for a 10-team league, and wont give her much help week one against the strong VERSACE VERSACE.  With the blowout potential in this one, we may have to wait a week or two before witnessing the power of Kaep This, but I expected to see some flashes of glory if not a Cinderella Story.

8.) Insane Clown Posse (LW #3)
      TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!  Who knew that someone ranked so high in preseason could fall so far by week one?
      What happened? A team that wound up in the championship last year couldn't have possibly drafted like this. But I suppose that's what happens when you draft on names alone.
      Tom Brady? A great quarterback with limited weapons. Sure, I see the Patriots making a Super Bowl run, but Brady's worst statistical year was a championship year. Yes, he's a great quarterback who will make players weapons, but that does not give you the best chance to win week-to-week. The Pats are going to run more. And with the way the Insane Clown Posse looks, there is too much pressure on Brady to perform.
      CJ Spiller: Great running back.  GREAT running back. I wanted him. But against the Pats week one with out a quarterback means that he might as well be covered in highlighter ink.  The Pats are targeting him, and he wont get anywhere.
      Eddie Lacy?  Here, let me go gain 50 pounds and finish writing this piece with half-assed effort. Maybe then I'll wind up as an RB2 on Bobby B's team.  Sure, he's expected to have a big role and I like him, but he has POTENTIAL for a RB2 season. It's not set in stone.
      Calvin Johnson: Best WR in the league.  He'll get points this year, but what about...
      LARRY FITZGERALD? I love the guy. I follow him on twitter. Truly an inspration. But if the Cardinals perform like the Cardinals always do, he wont put up numbers. You're praying that a guy who will be double-teamed will put up points with Carson "Every highlight is a pick-six" Palmer throwing to him. Again, HUGE potential, but I don't see him taking you to the ship.
      C'mon, Bobby B. Hope that you beat the Cobra Commanders week one to save from embarrassment. Sure, there is enough potential on this team to lead you to the retribution you so desperately seek, but if you dont get there, it's because you relied too much on potential.

9.) Broken Clavicles (LW #9)
      Going down in history for his "Ryan Matthews will have a great season despite his broken clavicle" pick last season, Matt "The Face" Smith was looking to right the course in his second season.
      Unfortunately, Matt "The Face" Smith showed up to the draft. And, well, he wound up with Demarco Murray at RB2, Reggie Wayne at WR2, and Steve Smith at Flex. I really don't know what else to say.  The guy is expected to lose week one by 16 points to a guy that drafted Fox Sports 1 analyst Randy Moss.
      If Arian Foster puts up the greatest statistical year in NFL history and Matt Ryan doubles his numbers from last year, he might have a shot at the title, but until that happens, the Broken clavicles need emergency surgery.

10.) Rank This (LW #10)
      Darren Sproles in the first? I am ranking this. And I'm still ranking it dead last.

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